The NBA Finals proceed on Friday after the Indiana Pacers secured a 116-107 Sport 3 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder, taking a 2-1 lead and surprising us all.
OKC has the chance to tie the sequence and can want guys to step up after its final efficiency.
With that in thoughts, I see three wagers which have worth proper now.
Let’s dive into it.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 6.5 assists
There’s a zigzag spot for the Thunder to have extra assists in Sport 4 after a poor efficiency sharing the ball in Sport 3.
Oklahoma Metropolis scored 107 factors on 37 made baskets. It had solely 16 assists, which is unacceptable for an NBA Finals efficiency.
This isn’t new for the Thunder on this sequence, as they’d solely 13 workforce assists on 39 made photographs of their Sport 1 loss. There have been two nights when the Thunder didn’t share the ball and two losses to point out for it.
Nonetheless, in Sport 2, when the Thunder received by 16, they’d 25 assists on 40 made baskets. That is how they’d prefer to distribute the ball, and it’s been the tactic that’s labored on this sequence.
When the Thunder need to cross the ball extra, it begins with SGA. He’s the first ball handler, and the Pacers are going to run two guys at him typically. On pick-and-rolls, the Pacers attempt to shut laborious and pressure him to cross. SGA simply wants his teammates to knock down some photographs.
In Sport 2, he had eight assists. Within the 4 wins in opposition to the Wolves, SGA has not less than eight assists. It appears apparent that the trail for the Thunder to have success tonight is by having SGA cross the ball to his teammates, who can then end for factors.
PICK: SGA Over 6.5 assists
Pacers made an announcement that they’re higher in fourth quarter — will OKC bounce again?
Myles Turner Over 13.5 factors
This is a chance to wager on Turner to have a bounce-back sport. Turner scored solely 9 factors in Sport 3, down from 15 and 16 within the first two video games.
Turner has not scored in double-digits in different playoff video games, akin to when he scored 5 factors in opposition to the Knicks in Sport 6. Turner solely took three photographs in that sport and made two of them.
What stood out to me about Turner’s 9 factors on Wednesday was his poor taking pictures efficiency. He solely made 27% of his photographs. Turner was 3-for-11, together with 1-for-4 from 3. That’s the worst taking pictures proportion Turner has had in a playoff sport since Sport 3 in opposition to the Bucks, the place he was 1-for-9 with solely six factors. Within the subsequent sport, he was 9-for-13 with 23 factors.
PICK: Myles Turner Over 13.5 factors
Pascal Siakam Beneath 7.5 rebounds
This quantity is just too excessive for the manufacturing of Siakam within the postseason. He’s had over seven rebounds simply 4 instances, together with Sport 1 in opposition to the Thunder. In that sport, the Pacers outrebounded the Thunder by 16, which is irregular for each groups. The Thunder have rebounded higher, successful that battle in each Video games 2 and three.
With that, we’ve seen Siakam’s rebounding quantity come down. He had 10 within the first sport, then seven in Sport 2, adopted by simply six in Sport 3. I feel the development continues tonight.
PICK: Pascal Siakam Beneath 7.5 rebounds
Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports activities. He performed eight seasons within the NFL for 5 totally different groups. He began at proper deal with for the College of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior yr. Observe him on Twitter @GeoffSchwartz.
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